Thursday, September 12, 2024

Lecture C1 (2024-09-12): Basic Simulation Tools and Techniques

This lecture covers content related to implementing simulations with spreadsheets and the motivations for the use of special-purpose Discrete Event System Simulation tools. In particular, we discuss different approaches to implementing Discrete Event System (DES) simulations (DESS) with simple spreadsheets (e.g., Microsoft Excel, Google Sheets, Apple Numbers, etc.). We cover inventory management problems (such as the newsvendor model) as well as Monte Carlo sampling and stochastic activity networks (SAN's). Although we show that spreadsheets can be very powerful for this kind of work, we highlight that this approach is cumbersome for systems with increasing complexity. So this motivates why we would use more sophisticated tools specifically built for simulation (but perhaps not so great for data analysis by themselves), like Arena, FlexSim, Simio, and NetLogo.

This lecture was recorded by Theodore Pavlic as part of IEE 475 (Simulating Stochastic Systems) at Arizona State University.



Tuesday, September 10, 2024

Lecture B3 (2024-09-10): Discrete-Event Simulation Examples, Part II

In this lecture, we close out our review of DES fundamentals and hand simulation. After going through a hand-simulation example one last time, we show how to implement a Discrete Event System (DES) simulation using a spreadsheet tool like Microsoft Excel without any "macros" (VBA, etc.). This involves defining relationships ACROSS TIME that allow the spreadsheet to (in a declarative fashion) reconstruct the trajectory that is the output of the simulation.

We then pivot to discussing the previous "Lab 2 (Muffin Oven Simulation)", which lets us introduce common random numbers (CRNs), statistical blocking, requirements of 2-sample and paired t-tests, and more sophisticated statistical methods that better characterize PRACTICAL significance (and take into account the multiple comparisons problem). Thus, the post-lab2 reflections are largely a preview of future topics in the course.



Thursday, September 5, 2024

Lecture B2 (2024-09-05): Discrete-Event Simulation Examples, Part I

In this lecture, we review fundamentals of Discrete Event System (DES) simulation (e.g., entities, resources, activities, processes, delays, attributes) and we run through a number of DES modeling examples. These examples show how different research/operations questions can lead to different choices of entities/resources/etc. We close with a hand-simulation example of a single-channel, single-server queue with provided interarrival times and service times.



Tuesday, September 3, 2024

Lecture B1 (2024-09-03): Fundamental Concepts of Discrete-Event Simulation (DES)

In this lecture, we cover fundamentals of discrete-event system (DES) simulation (DESS). This involves reviewing basic simulation concepts (entities, resources, attributes, events, activities, delays) and introducing the event-scheduling world view, which provides a causality framework on which an automatic simulation of a DES system can be built. We also discuss briefly how the stochastic modeling inherent to DESS means that outputs will be variable and thus will require rigorous statistics to make sense of.



Thursday, August 29, 2024

Lecture A2 (2024-08-29): Introduction to Simulation Modeling

In this lecture, we introduce the three different simulation methodologies (agent-based modeling, system dynamics modeling, and discrete event system simulation) and then focus on how stochastic modeling is used within discrete-event system simulation. In particular, we define terms such as system, dynamic system, state, state variable, activity, delay, resource, entity, and the notion of "input modeling."



Tuesday, August 27, 2024

Lecture A1 (2024-08-27): Introduction to Modeling

This lecture introduces the topic of modeling with particular focus on the role of quantitative modeling in industrial engineering and operations research. This is an introduction to a course on stochastic simulation.



Thursday, August 22, 2024

Lecture 0 (2024-08-22): Introduction to the Course and Its Policies

In this lecture, we outline the structure and purpose of IEE 475 (Simulating Stochastic Systems) for the Fall 2024 semester at Arizona State University. We go over topics covered in the syllabus and on the course learning management system website.



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